GB United Kingdom
by impact geography: 252
Issues 58
Economy 6
Macroeconomy & Finance 2
- IssueA cashless UK: harder concealment versus new untraceable channels1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueRising cross-border online fraud with fewer convictions eroding trust1 trends · 0 signals
Labor & Future of Work 3
- IssueAI automation eroding employment and the income tax base1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUncertain balance of AI job displacement and creation1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWorkers retraining out of declining professions into AI roles1 trends · 0 signals
Trade & Economic Security 1
- IssueStricter import controls versus trading partnerships1 trends · 0 signals
eNvironment 9
Climate Change & Adaptation 2
- IssueGreen urban planning and crop diversification building resilience1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSea level rise and overheating data centres disrupting ports and services1 trends · 0 signals
Resources, Food & Water 5
- IssueA UK circular economy easing pressure on primary supply1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueCrop diversification and genetically engineered varieties for resilience1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMore ticks and AMR raising livestock mortality1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueRepeated harvest failures from drought and pathogens1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUntreatable livestock diseases hitting farming and aquaculture1 trends · 0 signals
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 2
- IssueImported pests degrading forests and carbon storage1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMajor progress on UK air, water and soil pollution1 trends · 0 signals
Politics & Governance 19
Geopolitics & Security 6
- IssueAI lowering barriers to more sophisticated terrorist methods1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueState threats the most connected risk, with 11 links to acute risks1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueState-linked actors using AI for surveillance and disinformation1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTerrorism, organised crime and vulnerable persons most exposed to other risks3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUnregulated cryptoassets fuelling organised crime and straining services1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUnregulated online spaces widening access to radicalising material1 trends · 0 signals
Democracy & Governance 7
- IssueBiodiversity litigation against corporations and governments1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueChronic risks as slow erosion that amplifies acute risks0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueEroded trust driving disengagement from democracy1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueProbabilistic risk scoring judged unfit for chronic risks0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueSystems approaches needed beyond climate for highly connected risks3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe analysis disclaims prediction and complements existing plans0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUnequal access to clean environments prompting litigation1 trends · 0 signals
Tech·Digital Policy 6
- IssueConflicting interests in dual-use technologies need society-wide debate3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueDistrust of big tech driving regulation and ethical alternatives1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueDominant firms threatening relocation to extract lower taxes and regulation1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueEnd-to-end encryption listed as a chronic risk but assessment withheld0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueGenetic discrimination from routine use of biological data1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTech dominance and critical minerals need targeted mitigation2 trends · 0 signals
Society 16
Welfare & Health 12
- IssueAir pollution raising chronic disease burden in older people1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueClimate change hitting lower-income households via food and insurance1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueClimate-driven relocation of food production weakening traceability1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueGenome sequencing at birth integrated with NHS records1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueHealthy life expectancy stalling without prevention and early detection1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMistrust in experts reducing vaccine uptake1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMultidrug-resistant microbes making routine surgery dangerous1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueNovel chemical mixtures and endocrine disruptors as new health challenges1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueOnline marketplaces complicating foodborne outbreak tracing1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueRising meat demand and livestock trade raising pandemic risk1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTechnology both supporting and displacing vulnerable groups1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueVulnerable persons and biological data at the end of risk cascades2 trends · 0 signals
Education & Generations 4
- IssueChildren's device use raising exposure to online groomers1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMedia literacy making users more critical of information1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUnequal technology adoption deepening social divides and isolation1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUniversities losing students to cheaper AI-driven online courses1 trends · 0 signals
Technology 6
AI & Computing 1
- IssueAI animal health tools favouring large farms over smallholders1 trends · 0 signals
Digital Infrastructure & Cyber 5
- IssueCriminals gaining tools, data and anonymity to exploit weakly regulated sectors1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueOffenders hacking connected devices and GPS to track targets1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueOffensive cyber pre-positioning against UK critical sites1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTraceability technologies improving safety but raising costs1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUneven adoption of AI for cyber defence1 trends · 0 signals
Values & Culture 2
Values & Lifestyles 1
- IssuePlant-based diets and cultivated meat reducing disease burden1 trends · 0 signals
Media & Information Ecosystem 1
- IssueGroups migrating to fringe platforms that are harder to monitor1 trends · 0 signals
Trends 61
Economy 8
Macroeconomy & Finance 2
Industry & Supply Chains 2
Labor & Future of Work 3
Trade & Economic Security 1
eNvironment 13
Climate Change & Adaptation 4
- TrendHotter, drier summers bringing heat illness, drought and wildfire0 signals
- TrendPeople staying home to avoid extreme weather0 signals
- TrendWarming driving more frequent and severe extreme weather9 signals
- TrendWarming extending the range and season of disease-carrying insects0 signals
Resources, Food & Water 7
- TrendAMR causing animal treatment and crop protection failures0 signals
- TrendClimate and trade intensifying plant pest outbreaks9 signals
- TrendClimate change enabling new plant pathogens and invasive species0 signals
- TrendGlobal agricultural supply failures causing food shortages0 signals
- TrendLivestock losses in heatwaves hitting farm livelihoods0 signals
- TrendUK veterinary antimicrobial reductions levelling off0 signals
- TrendWater companies needing infrastructure upgrades to cut water pollution0 signals
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 2
Politics & Governance 7
Geopolitics & Security 5
- TrendRising global tensions triggering more state activity and challenger actors0 signals
- TrendSerious and organised crime growing and exploiting technology7 signals
- TrendShift towards self-initiated terrorists outside organised networks0 signals
- TrendState threats to the UK increasing and diversifying3 signals
- TrendTerrorism threat to the UK evolving and exploiting technology4 signals
Tech·Digital Policy 2
Society 15
Demographics & Migration 2
- TrendOver-65 share projected to rise from 19% to 22% by 20320 signals
- TrendUK population ageing despite migration4 signals
Cities & Housing 1
Welfare & Health 9
- TrendEconomic pressure pushing consumers towards food fraud exposure0 signals
- TrendEnvironmental AMR transmission via untreated wastewater0 signals
- TrendExtreme weather increasing contamination of salad crops and shellfish0 signals
- TrendFoodborne disease a persistent health and economic burden7 signals
- TrendHealthcare strain expanding private care and waiting time gaps0 signals
- TrendNew trade partners raising risk of imported resistant foodborne strains0 signals
- TrendNursing shortages colliding with an older, sicker population0 signals
- TrendRisks falling disproportionately on vulnerable groups with compounding disadvantage7 signals
- TrendTrade shifts exposing the UK to new animal diseases0 signals
Education & Generations 3
- TrendAI tutoring democratising education and retraining1 signals
- TrendFalling pupil numbers making schools unviable0 signals
- TrendPandemic education effects deepening child poverty0 signals
Technology 12
AI & Computing 3
Bio & Health Tech 2
Digital Infrastructure & Cyber 7
- TrendCapability uplift letting opportunistic actors scale cyber attacks0 signals
- TrendCyber attacks growing in complexity, severity and range of perpetrators7 signals
- TrendDigital identity theft and ransom growing with online personal data0 signals
- TrendExpansion of e-commerce and digital government0 signals
- TrendGrowing reliance on digital platforms raising exposure to disruption8 signals
- TrendTelemedicine and digital services expanding with access and energy challenges0 signals
- TrendWidespread data breaches eroding trust in digital services0 signals
Values & Culture 6
Media & Information Ecosystem 6
- TrendAI deepfakes lowering the barrier to convincing disinformation0 signals
- TrendAI-enabled disinformation increasing mistrust0 signals
- TrendDisinformation targeting polarised issues such as climate and immigration0 signals
- TrendRetreat to trusted sources as information grows unreliable0 signals
- TrendShifting media landscape amplifying dis- and misinformation4 signals
- TrendStates using AI for information operations against social cohesion0 signals
Signals 133
Economy 34
Macroeconomy & Finance 14
- SignalBovine TB costs the UK government 70 million pounds a year
- SignalEnergy price cap rose from 1,216 to 4,059 pounds; EPG limited bills to 2,500
- SignalFoodborne disease costs UK society 9.1 billion pounds a year
- SignalFoodborne illness cost businesses 157.5 million and the NHS 60.5 million pounds
- SignalFraud is the most common UK crime at 3.9 million offences
- SignalHundreds of billions of pounds likely laundered through the UK yearly
- SignalNational Payments Vision published in November 2024
- SignalNorovirus the costliest foodborne pathogen at 1.7 billion pounds
- SignalPublic sector fraud and error cost at least 33 billion pounds a year
- SignalSerious and organised crime estimated to cost the UK 47 billion pounds a year
- SignalTop 10% of British households held 43% of wealth, bottom half 9%
- SignalU.S.–UK Transatlantic Taskforce for the Markets of the Future — joint stablecoin recommendations
- SignalUK income inequality 7th highest in the OECD in 2021
- SignalUK internet banking fraud cases fell from 43,000 to 8,800
Industry & Supply Chains 7
- Signal2001 foot and mouth outbreak cost the UK over 8 billion pounds
- SignalAbout a third of England's generic medicines made in India
- SignalCritical Imports and Supply Chains Strategy published January 2024
- SignalMosaic Insurance Launches New 'AI Lab' Unit
- SignalOnline sales reached 26.6% of UK retail in May 2022
- SignalSector Plan ambition: first trillion-dollar UK tech firm by 2035
- SignalUK technology ecosystem valued at one trillion pounds
Labor & Future of Work 8
- Signal6% of UK businesses report recruitment difficulties in March 2025
- SignalAutomation forecast to affect up to a third of UK jobs
- SignalEmployment Rights Bill to ban zero hours contracts
- SignalGet Britain Working White Paper 2024 targets rising inactivity
- SignalPlant pests could threaten jobs of 471,000 UK agricultural workers
- SignalShare of employers providing training fell to 60%
- SignalUK unemployment 4.4% in December 2024 to February 2025
- SignalUK vacancies fell to 781,000 in early 2025
Trade & Economic Security 5
- SignalBSE led to a ten-year EU ban on British beef
- SignalNational Security and Investment Act 2021 upgraded investment screening
- SignalNew UK Critical Minerals Strategy due in 2025
- SignalTrade rose from 43% of UK GDP in 1970 to 70% in 2022
- SignalUK Carbon Border Tax Relief Opens Path For Indian Exporters
eNvironment 22
Climate Change & Adaptation 4
- Signal5.5 million UK homes and businesses at flood risk; Storm Babet hit 2,100 properties
- SignalThird National Adaptation Programme funds research and a local climate service pilot
- SignalUK claims carbon-removal leadership as grid constraints push curtailment costs higher
- SignalUK invested 5.2 billion pounds in flood defences and up to 60 million for loss and damage
Resources, Food & Water 14
- Signal2023 Animal Health and Welfare Pathway funds farm biosecurity
- SignalAbout 69% of UK land used for agriculture
- SignalAlgal blooms costing UK fisheries 224 million pounds a year
- SignalFarm runoff and untreated sewage lead UK river pollution
- SignalGuardian/EIA Investigation Finds UK Plastic Waste Contaminating Turkish Farmland
- SignalOver 200 quarantine pests listed, six established in Great Britain
- SignalPlant Biosecurity Strategy for Great Britain 2023 to 2028
- SignalSoil pollution said to cost the UK 1.2 billion pounds a year
- SignalUK Critical Minerals Intelligence Centre established
- SignalUK Plant Health Risk Register in place since 2013
- SignalUK livestock antimicrobial use down 59% since 2014
- SignalUK potato farmers spend 55 million pounds a year on blight
- SignalVirus yellows cut up to 25% of the UK sugar beet yield in 2020
- SignalWheat stem rust found in the UK in 2013 for first time in 60 years
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 4
Politics & Governance 32
Geopolitics & Security 12
- Signal43 late-stage attack plots disrupted since March 2017
- Signal6,268 firearms offences in England and Wales, up 6%
- SignalAI-generated celebrity videos used to lure scam investors
- SignalBladed or blunt weapons used in almost 80% of UK attacks since 2018
- SignalIndividuals linked to Putin seen as highest sanctions evasion risk
- SignalModern slavery referrals reach 4,758 in Q3 2024
- SignalNational Security Act 2023 targets modern state threats
- SignalNine UK terrorist attacks 2018-2023 killed six and injured 20
- SignalOver 1.5 billion pounds a year for UK biological security
- SignalUK announces new Russia sanctions package targeting military supply chain
- SignalUK defence spending to reach 2.5% of GDP from April 2027
- SignalUpdated SOC Strategy of December 2023 targets criminal use of technology
Democracy & Governance 6
- SignalEngland publishes a first Men's Health Strategy with GBP 3.6 million for male suicide prevention
- SignalForeign actors almost certainly sought to interfere in the 2019 election
- SignalHouse Judiciary chair Jim Jordan investigates foreign funding of ClientEarth USA's climate lawsuits
- SignalNHS England logs 5.5 million social prescribing referrals and plans 9,000 link workers
- SignalProcurement Act 2023 in force from February 2025
- SignalUK government identifies 26 chronic risks in seven themes
Tech·Digital Policy 14
- Signal2018 Code on Genetic Testing and Insurance limits genomic data in insurance
- SignalCMA investigating the cloud services market
- SignalCalifornia Bill To Address Wearable Recording Devices, Including Glasses
- SignalCryptoassets brought into UK financial promotions regime in October 2023
- SignalCyber Security and Resilience Bill to widen protected digital services
- SignalDMCC Act 2024 gives the CMA new digital market powers
- SignalDSIT guidance on screening synthetic nucleic acids
- SignalPSTI Act requires minimum security for consumer connected devices
- SignalSocial media to be banned for under-16s in landmark government move / UAE bans under-15s from social media
- SignalTreasury proceeding with a cryptoasset regulatory regime from November 2024
- SignalUK AI Security Institute testing advanced AI systems
- SignalUK Cyber Security and Resilience Bill 2026: MSPs, Data Centers, Critical Suppliers Covered
- SignalUK commission proposes 44 recommendations to overhaul AI healthcare regulation
- SignalUK proposals to ban social media for children / Could a UK Teen Social Media Ban Work
Society 27
Demographics & Migration 4
Cities & Housing 2
Welfare & Health 16
- Signal14.3 million people in relative poverty after housing costs
- Signal2.4 million foodborne illness cases, 16,000 hospitalisations, 180 deaths
- Signal241 Salmonella cases in travellers returning from Türkiye in 2023
- SignalA third of England's smokers from the two most deprived deciles
- SignalAMR named a high consequence risk in the 2023 Biological Security Strategy
- SignalAdult social care short of over 100,000 staff with 122,000 vacancies
- SignalAir pollution named the greatest UK environmental public health threat
- SignalDrug deaths at highest level since records began in 1993
- SignalDrug harms costing UK society over 20 billion pounds a year
- SignalGalleri Blood Test Fails to Reduce Late-Stage Cancers in Major NHS Trial
- SignalGreen and blue space access could save the NHS 2.1 billion pounds a year
- SignalLife expectancy fell most in the most deprived areas 2018 to 2020
- SignalNorovirus causes about 380,000 foodborne cases a year
- SignalSTEC cases at highest rate since 2015 after two 2022 outbreaks
- SignalSecond UK five-year AMR National Action Plan launched in 2024
- SignalSevere antibiotic-resistant infections in England rose 6.6% to nearly 58,000
Education & Generations 5
- Signal7.5 million UK adults lack essential digital skills for work
- SignalCambridge's Youngest Black Professor Resigns Amid New Plagiarism Investigation
- SignalDigital Inclusion Action Plan published
- SignalDigital divide: 9% of families without tools, 46% of over-75s offline
- SignalT Levels with industry placements of at least 45 days
Technology 17
AI & Computing 2
Bio & Health Tech 1
Energy & Climate Tech 3
Space & Mobility 2
Digital Infrastructure & Cyber 9
- Signal43% of UK businesses hit by cyber attacks in 2024/25
- Signal44% of UK private sector businesses lack basic cyber skills
- Signal92% of UK adults used the internet for digital services by 2020
- SignalHostile States Behind 75% of Cyber Attacks on UK Infrastructure - NCSC CEO
- SignalLaboratory for AI Security Research announced in 2024
- SignalNCSC: AI will almost certainly raise cyber attack volume and impact
- SignalSmartphone costs fell 33% while data use surged 266%
- SignalSynnovis ransomware attack disrupts six NHS trusts
- SignalTwo companies control 70-90% of the UK cloud market